What a chance to hit the jackpot - stats, numbers, reality
Why the odds are so low
Progressive jackpot slots are arranged so that a large win is a rare event that maintains a high fund size and player interest. Unlike regular slots, where the maximum winnings can fall several times a month, the jackpot can hit once every few weeks, months or even years, depending on its scale and the popularity of the game.
Main factors affecting chance
1. Network size
Online jackpots (such as Microgaming's Mega Moolah) are collected from gamblers' bets worldwide, increasing competition.
Local jackpots are limited to one casino and have a higher probability of winning per player.
2. Mechanics of the draw
Some games require reaching a bonus round where the jackpot is drawn.
In other systems, the draw occurs accidentally on any back.
3. Player Bet
In some slots, the jackpot is only available at the maximum bet.
In others, the chance is scaled in proportion to the size of the bet.
4. Frequency of past falls
The average statistics for the slots show how often the jackpot hits, but does not guarantee a repeat.
Approximate probabilities
Mega Moolah (Microgaming) - estimated chance of the main jackpot: 1 to 50-60 million spins.
Divine Fortune (NetEnt) - about 1 in 20-25 million for Mega Jackpot.
Daily Drop Jackpots (Red Tiger) - the chance is higher, but the amount is also less: 1 in 200-500 thousand spins.
Local Mystery Jackpot - range 1 in 50 thousand to 1 in 250 thousand spins.
* Data is based on open casino statistics, player reports and payout frequency analysis. *
Reality for Australian players
With a daily game of 500 spins a day, on average, the chance of hitting a large online jackpot can stretch for decades.
Local jackpots, especially with Must Drop or Mystery mechanics, are statistically more achievable, but the amounts are smaller.
Most often, a large jackpot is won by a player who plays irregularly - pure chance plays a key role.
Why the chances are still worth attention
Even at the minimum rate, there is a chance of thwarting the multi-million dollar prize.
Jackpots are the only format in slots where you can turn a few dollars into a fortune.
The correct choice of game and time (for example, Must Drop closer to the deadline) slightly increases the mathematical attractiveness.
How to approach the game wisely
1. Choose slots with suitable mechanics - if frequency is important, you should take Daily Drop or local networks.
2. Play within the bankroll - calculate the budget for a long distance.
3. Do not chase only the amount - combine jackpot games with regular slots to maintain interest.
Result
The chance to hit the progressive jackpot in network slots is extremely small - from units to tens of millions to one. That doesn't make the game meaningless, though: for Australian players, picking the right jackpot format, understanding the mechanics and discipline in betting can turn an unlikely but possible chance into an exciting piece of gameplay.
